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Event: GfK Consumer Confidence Survey Period: Nov Previous Reading: -10 Forecast: -11 Actual Reading: Consumer Confidence measures the level of confidence households have in economic performance. Generally rising consumer confidence acts as a precursor to higher consumer expenditures which drive economic expansion. The report also breaks down results into parts of the economy, giving a detailed picture of the consumer climate in Great Britain.
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GfK Consumer Confidence is one of the most closely watched surveys. The survey results are quantified into index where 0 represents long term Consumer Confidence averages. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change.
On a global basis, the indicator is very important for the economy, as it reflects consumers sentiments which formed the major portion of Great Britain GDP. The survey is conducted monthly by GfK, a market research organization, on behalf of the EU commission. Event: PMI Manufacturing Period: Nov Previous Reading: 50.2 Forecast: 50.2 Actual Reading: A monthly gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook.
The CIPS PMI is comparable to the US ISM survey, similarly based on the opinions of executives in manufacturing companies. Purchasing managers are tasked with gauging future demand, and adjusting orders for materials accordingly. Bank forex broker in russian. The PMI summarizes the opinions of these executives to give a picture of the future of the manufacturing sector. A higher PMI indicates that materials purchases are increasing and that the economic outlook is positive.
Alternately, a lower PMI means orders for materials are down and the future outlook is less favorable. By nature, the figure is very sensitive to the business cycle and tends to match growth or decline in the economy as a whole. The PMI is presented as an index with a value between 1-100.
Event: Housing Starts Period: Oct Previous Reading: 0.943M; -1.5% Forecast: 0.941M; 0.4% Actual Reading: The Housing Starts figure reflects the rate of growth in housing construction. The number of housing starts is an indicator of the strength of Japan 's construction sector and a leading indicator for the direction of the economy as a whole. Housing Starts respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, promptly slowing at the onset of a recession and growing at the beginning of an economic boom. A high Housing Starts figure is generally bullish for the economy, as it indicates overall economic growth. The headline figures are the year on year percentage change in value of housing starts, and the value of all houses started for construction that year. Event: Consumer Confidence Period: Nov Previous Reading: 43.0 Forecast: 43.3 Actual Reading: Consumer Confidence is a measure of popular sentiment concerning the Japanese economy.
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The figure is derived from a survey that asks thousands of Japanese consumers about personal expenditure patterns and inflationary expectations. In general, rising consumer confidence precedes increased consumer spending, which drives both economic growth and inflation.
Even though the Japanese economy is heavily driven by its export sector, domestic consumer confidence is an important gauge of overall economic activity and future inflationary pressures. A headline figure above 50 shows positive consumer sentiment, while a number below 50 shows negative consumer sentiment; the greater the distance, the stronger the sentiment. Event: Retail Sales Period: Oct Previous Reading: 0.1% m/m; -2.6% y/y Forecast: 0.4% m/m; 1.4% y/y Actual Reading: Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month.
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Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy since private consumption makes up a large portion of German Gross Domestic Product. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures. The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year. Event: Consumer Price Index Period: Nov Previous Reading: 0.1% m/m; 2.2% y/y Forecast: -0.2% m/m Actual Reading: Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items.
The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro in France, where each Euro buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most popular way to measure changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical French household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Euros to purchase the same set of basic consumer items. Event: KOF Economic Barometer Period: Nov Previous Reading: 100.1 Forecast: 99.6 Actual Reading: The Swiss KOF Economic Barometer is a leading indicator which measures overall economic activity and is an excellent indicator of the direction of the Swiss economy.